Between 16-18 November 2023, Dr Marat TERTEROV and Dr. George Vlad NICULESCU participated in the 26th workshop of the Regional Stability in the South Caucasus Study Group
Between 16-18 November 2023, Dr Marat TERTEROV and Dr. George Vlad NICULESCU participated in the 26th workshop of the Regional Stability in the South Caucasus Study Group of the PfP Consortium of Defence Academies and Security Studies Institutes on “New Security Arrangements for the South Caucasus”, held in Reichenau a/d Rax (Austria). Please click here for the programme and agenda outline, here for Marat’s and here for George’s speaking points.
From the EGF Head of Research
A regional footprint of the great powers’ global competition might be in the making and drawing the Middle East towards renewed intra-regional confrontation. The new balance of power might feature US and Israel, on the one hand, Iran and its proxies, and possibly Syria, on the other hand. How would Russia, the EU/European states, UK, Turkiye, China, and the Arab states position themselves against the emerging new balance of power is still to be seen. READ MORE
From the EGF Head of Research
To manage the highly consequential risk of China becoming a military spoiler in Ukraine, the West should reassure Beijing that maintaining the current Chinese-styled “neutrality” worked well for Chinese interests, including by reassuring Beijing against fears of potential economic isolation. In fact, China should not be expected to pursue conflict resolution in Ukraine, but merely some crisis mediation. The key issue is how it would do that: entirely on Russian terms or otherwise. READ MORE
Dr Marat TERTEROV and Dr. George Vlad NICULESCU participated in the 25th workshop of the Regional Stability in the South Caucasus Study Group
Between 30 March and 01 April 2023, Dr Marat TERTEROV and Dr. George Vlad NICULESCU participated in the 25th workshop of the Regional Stability in the South Caucasus Study Group of the PfP Consortium of Defence Academies and Security Studies Institutes on “Discussing a South Caucasus Short of Russian Dominance”, held in Tbilisi (Georgia). Please click here for the programme and agenda outline, here for the agreed policy recommendations from participants, here for Marat’s paper for the workshop, and here for George’s speaking points.
From the EGF Head of Research
The downside of the existing geopolitical endgames of the war in Ukraine is that they might be only applied either after the end of the war or to Kyiv-controlled territory at the time of a possibly agreed truce. The latter possibility engenders the risk for Ukraine and its Western supporters to eventually have to choose between restoring Ukraine’s full territorial integrity and Western interests to avoid joining the war, turning it nuclear, or remaining engulfed into an exhausting open-ended war. This is why the West needs a comprehensive vision and a calibrated strategy aiming to build a new European security system which would put Ukraine and other post-Soviet states’ sovereignty, independence, and stability at its core. READ MORE
On February 7, 2023, the Founder of the EGF Dr Marat TERTEROV moderated, and the Head of Research, Dr George Vlad NICULESCU participated in, the first panel of the web-conference
On February 7, 2023, the Founder, and former Executive Director of the EGF Dr Marat TERTEROV moderated, and the Head of Research, Dr George Vlad NICULESCU participated in, the first panel of the web-conference on “The War in Ukraine: What Consequences for the Countries of Our Neighbourhood – East and South: What New Challenges for the EU?” organized by the Institute for European Studies of the Saint Louis University Brussels. Click here to read George’s speaking points, here for the conclusions (in French and in English) and here for the summary of presentations (in French only) of the web-conference.
On 03-05 November 2022, Dr. George Vlad Niculescu co-chaired the 24th workshop of the Regional Stability in the South Caucasus Study Group of the PfP Consortium of Defence Academies and Security Studies Institutes
On 03-05 November 2022, Dr. George Vlad Niculescu, Head of Research of the EGF, co-chaired the 24th workshop of the Regional Stability in the South Caucasus Study Group of the PfP Consortium of Defence Academies and Security Studies Institutes on “After 24 February 2022: Imagining South Caucasus Security”, held in Reichenau a/d Rax (Austria). Please click here for the programme and agenda outline, here for his speaking points, and here for the ensuing Policy Recommendations.
From the EGF Head of Research
With Putin’s Russia we are harvesting what we sowed: first, we were friendly with him (1999-2003); then, we almost ignored him (2004-2010); then, we antagonized him (2011-2014); eventually, we underestimated his capacity to unravel Europe and the world order (2015- 2021). Now we must face a very dangerous war which may end up into a new European chaos. Building a new European order is inevitable. What is Russia’s future going to be? If we look at the history we see that building a “Westernized” Russia has always been a lovely pipedream. And whether Russia was included in the new order or not, European peace will continue to be shaped by its long-term strategic interests.
On September 17, 2022, Dr. George Vlad Niculescu, the Head of Research of the European Geopolitical Forum, participated online in the panel on “The Republic of Moldova – Foreign Policy and Security Strategy under Imminent Threat”
On September 17, 2022, Dr. George Vlad Niculescu, the Head of Research of the European Geopolitical Forum, participated online in the panel on “The Republic of Moldova – Foreign Policy and Security Strategy under Imminent Threat” of the Bucharest Security Conference 2022. Please click here to view the agenda of the conference, here to check the content of the panels, and here to read his speaking points.
From the EGF Head of Research
Like often in the history, the world order is shifting, and nobody can pass a meaningful masterplan. However, global polarization is on the way and would eventually shape the new world order. The current fence sitters might face tough dilemmas. A plethora of crises will mark the road. There is no going back but only an uncertain way ahead. This isn't Cold War replayed. The emerging multipolar world is in limbo, while new poles are building up. A multi-regional world is the likeliest future of the international system.
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