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Saturday 24 May 2025

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Context on External Relations
News Britain warns Russia of sanctions on oligarchs if Ukraine is invaded

Britain urged Russian President Vladimir Putin on Monday to "step back from the brink" over Ukraine, warning that any incursion would trigger sanctions against companies and people with close links to the Kremlin.

  • January 31, 2022
News Ukraine crisis: Vladimir Putin's geopolitical jigsaw

Ever tried doing a jigsaw which has half the pieces missing? It's frustrating. It's confusing. You never see the full picture.

  • January 28, 2022
News Ukraine: What is Nato and why doesn't Russia trust it?

Nato countries are trying to help Ukraine in the face of a possible Russian invasion.

  • January 28, 2022
News Ukraine: US could sanction Putin personally if Russia invades, Biden says

US President Joe Biden says he would consider personal sanctions on Vladimir Putin if Russia invades Ukraine.

  • January 26, 2022
News Ukraine: What is Nato and why doesn't Russia trust it?

Members of Nato are weighing up how far they should go to help Ukraine, in the face of a possible Russian invasion.

  • January 26, 2022
Publications Elections in Turkey Next Year May Bring the Erdogan Era to an End

Benyamin Poghosyan By Benyamin POGHOSYAN, PhD, Chairman, Center for Political and Economic Strategic Studies

2023 will be a crucial elections year in Turkey, and there is no certainty that president Erdogan and his AK Party can maintain their hold on power. The stakes are high and political turmoil will have implications way beyond Turkey itself.

The latest Russia-US and Russia-NATO tensions have entirely shifted the attention of the media and the expert community to Ukraine. Tens, if not hundreds, of papers and policy briefs are published daily, seeking to understand what Russia wants in Ukraine and whether Russia and the West will come to a diplomatic solution and avoid war. As a NATO member and Black Sea littoral state Turkey has a significant role in these calculations. What will be Turkey's reaction if war breaks out in or around Ukraine, and how will the war impact Russia - Turkey relations in other regions – the Middle East, South Caucasus, Balkans, and North Africa? READ MORE

  • January 25, 2022
Publications Have the Events in Kazakhstan Exposed the Limits of Turkey’s Regional Aspirations in Central Asia?

Yeghia TASHJIAN By Yeghia TASHJIAN, Beirut-based regional analyst and researcher, columnist, "The Armenian Weekly”

In February 2021, I wrote an article “Turkey’s Pivot in Central Asia: A Calculated Risk?” and asked to what extent can Turkey push its pan-Turkic aspirations in Central Asia? If Turkey’s economic and energy relations in Central Asia continue to deepen, will it inevitably increase engagement on security issues as a means to protect them? Will Russia and China tolerate a NATO member exerting its influence near their traditional zones of influence? The developments in Kazakhstan clearly provided answers to these questions.
Long seen as the pole of stability in Central Asia, Kazakhstan has faced its most serious political crisis to date. What began as a reaction to a spike in fuel prices in the western oil-producing regions spread across the country with unprecedented calls for reform, before escalating into violence in the country’s biggest city, Almaty. The protest movement in Kazakhstan quickly escalated and turned violent as protesters seized and set alight government buildings. After failing to quell the unrest, President Kassym- Jomart Tokayev launched a “counter-terror” operation to regain control of the situation and appealed to the Russian-led Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) for military assistance. READ MORE

  • January 25, 2022
News Ukraine crisis: what next after the Blinken-Lavrov talks?

Here is a snapshot of what to look out for next in the Ukraine crisis after the latest U.S.-Russia talks produced - as expected - no breakthrough.

  • January 21, 2022
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