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The European Geopolitical Forum

Tuesday 18 June 2013

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Europe embraces Nord Stream expansion

12.pngBy Igor Alexeev
Russian journalist and blogger for Strategic Culture Foundation and Route Magazine. He writes on the oil and gas sector, Eurasian energy security and shipping industries in the Arctic.

European countries, including the Netherlands, Finland and the United Kingdom expressed their interest in the expansion of Nord Stream. The third and fourth strings of the pipeline enjoy the highest level of political support in Europe. As a result Nord Stream will be the cornerstone of European energy security in the decades to come.
Nord Stream Fact Sheet

  • Nord Stream is a twin pipeline system through the Baltic Sea transporting natural gas from Russia to Europe;
  • It runs across the Baltic Sea waters from the Portovaya Bay (near Vyborg) to the German coast (near Greifswald) stretching over 1224 kilometers;
  • The third and fourth lines are planned for annual capacities of 27.5 billion cubic meters each;
  • The stakes in Nord Stream AG are distributed as follows: Gazprom holds 51%, Wintershall Holding and E.ON Ruhrgas – 15.5% each, Gasunie and GDF Suez – 9% each;
  • Nord Stream will export gas from the Yuzhno-Russkoye oil and gas field, the Yamal Peninsula, Ob and Taz Bays and in perspective Shtokman field;
  • The cost of construction of the first two sections was $7.4 billion.

READ MORE

  • Tuesday, 7 May 2013, 07:58
South Stream Shapes European Energy Security, Nabucco Falls Behind

13.pngBy Igor Alexeev
Russian journalist and blogger for Strategic Culture Foundation and Route Magazine. He writes on the oil and gas sector, Eurasian energy security and shipping industries in the Arctic.

South Stream is an ambitious endeavor of Russia’s energy giant Gazprom to get direct access to the EU energy market. It is portrayed and criticized by some politicians in Europe as a “dangerous” gateway to a broader economic relationship with Moscow. Remarkably enough, Bulgaria, Serbia, Croatia, Slovenia and Hungary have one-by-one opted for the project.
The South Stream Fact Sheet

  • Gas pipeline will be 1455 km long in Southern and Central Europe;
  • 8500 people will be employed in its construction, with 770 at the operational level;
  • Eight compression stations are to be set up in the main transit countries;
  • The South Stream planned transport capacity may reach 63 billion cubic meters;
  • The overall cost of the project is approximately $39 billion.

READ MORE

  • Tuesday, 7 May 2013, 07:57
Building Confidence in the South Caucasus: Strengthening the EU’s and NATO’s Soft Security Initiatives

7th Workshop of the PfP Consortium Study Group “Regional Stability in the South Caucasus”

On 14-16 March 2013, George Niculescu, our Head of Research, attended the 7th Workshop of the PfP Consortium Study Group “Regional Stability in the South Caucasus”, held in Tbilisi (Georgia). Mr Niculescu briefed a distinguished audience consisting of government officials, representatives of the EU and NATO, as well as of experts from regional and international think tanks and civil society on the EGF research paper on "A Pragmatic Review of Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict Resolution: Could Economic Incentives Help Break the Current Stalemate?", published last October jointly with Dr. Marat Terterov. Mr Niculescu thus concluded that “the exit from the current stalemate in the resolution of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict would require starting up discussion around economic issues, and that the next step to this end might aim at setting up a comprehensive dialogue among interested businesses and experts from the conflicting parties together with international actors on post-conflict scenarios involving joint regional energy and infrastructure projects.” To see the Policy Recommendations issued in the aftermath of this workshop please click here. To look at the full text of the briefing please click here, and click here for the Powerpoint presentation.”

  • Tuesday, 7 May 2013, 07:56
NATO Strategic Operations in Post-Cold War Security Point to the Core Role of Partnerships in the Way Forward

NATO logo.jpg By George Niculescu,
Head of Research, The European Geopolitical Forum


Introduction
Since the end of the Cold War, the future of NATO has been a topic for debate among politicians, bureaucrats, scholars and journalists familiar with the European and global security issues. NATO’s future role within the newly evolving global security structure has been a particularly relevant topic for such debates. The North Atlantic Alliance has so far proven itself to be a flexible enough entity in relation to adapting itself to post-Cold War security realities in order to survive the bygone era of the 20th Century. Both political and military leaders of the Alliance have understood the key lesson learned from the fall in relevance of the Warsaw Pact after the collapse of the communism in Central-Eastern Europe: the continuous adaptation of NATO to the new security challenges is the only viable alternative to the Alliance’s disappearance from the geostrategic map. READ MORE

  • Tuesday, 7 May 2013, 07:56
Political Advisory Briefing: Egypt


By Claudia Nocente,
Research Associate Global Security
February 2013


Key points:

  • Egypt’s new administration between international praise and domestic unrest
  • Morsi assumes pharaonic powers in an attempt to rid Egypt of Mubarak judges
  • The felool take another shot in Egyptian politics
  • The generals remain silent
  • The Egyptian economy sinks. READ MORE

  • Tuesday, 12 February 2013, 14:21
Regional Integration as a Conflict Management Strategy in the Balkans and South Caucasus

By Anna Ohanyan,
EGF Affiliated Expert on South Caucasus region building


There is much enthusiasm among researchers and policymakers alike concerning the pacifying effects of trade and broader interdependence among states. The European Union is an often cited example of greater regional integration as a way to enhance peace and security among neighboring states. This comparative regional study draws from the cases of the Balkans and South Caucasus in order (1) to offer a descriptive account of patterns and processes of regionalism in politically divided conflict areas, and (2) to examine the extent to which such regional engagement can positively affect ongoing conflict management efforts in a given conflict region. The study advocates promoting regional structures as a new and potentially effective approach to peace-building and security enhancement, toward managing the many 'frozen conflicts' both in the Balkans as well as in the South Caucasus. READ MORE

  • Friday, 8 February 2013, 10:40
The OSCE’s ‘Asia Pivot’? Implications of the Mongolian Accession

Paul Pryce
EGF Affiliated Expert on Conflict Management and the OSCE Institutions


On November 21st, 2012, a surprising announcement was made in Vienna. Mongolia had acceded as the 57th participating State of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE), the world’s largest regional security organization. Mongolia has effectively been an observer state since 2004, involved in the OSCE’s Asian Partners for Cooperation together with Japan, South Korea, Thailand, and Afghanistan. Contributing to the surprise of the announcement, the country’s bid for full participation in the work of the OSCE had only come in late October 2011, when the Lithuanian Chairmanship received a formal letter from the Mongolian government stating their willingness to comply fully with the terms of the Helsinki Final Act, the Charter of Paris for a New Europe, and other documents integral to the OSCE. Click here to read more.

  • Wednesday, 19 December 2012, 13:21
Why we continue to demonise Russia in the West: an historical overview of some important issues

andrej1.jpg Dr. Andrej Kreutz
EGF adviser on trans-Atlantic security


When discussing the place in the international system and the foreign policy of any major country, one needs to take into account its historical background and transformations of its image in the eyes of the world. Because of the special and rather unusual features of both Russia’s geopolitics and history, the need to do that seems even more necessary. Click here to read more.

  • Thursday, 4 October 2012, 12:01
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  • News Putin faces isolation over Syria as G8 ratchets up pressure
  • Publications Radical Islam and ethno-religious conflict in Nigeria: from independence to Boko Haram
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