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EGF
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Sunday 25 May 2025

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Context
News Bolsonaro: Closer US-Brazil ties unlikely after 'Trump of the Tropics' meets Biden

After several months of uncertainty as to whether Jair Bolsonaro would be attending the Summit of the Americas, a bilateral meeting with US President Joe Biden on the sidelines of the summit clinched the deal for Brazil's president to show up at the conference in Los Angeles.

  • June 10, 2022
News Ukraine war in maps: Tracking the Russian invasion

Heavy fighting continues in east Ukraine, with key locations under intense bombardment from Russian forces.

  • June 10, 2022
News Putin: West unlikely to reject Russian energy for years

Russian President Vladimir Putin says the West will not be able to cut itself off from Russian oil and gas for several years.

  • June 10, 2022
Publications Peacekeeping in Karabakh Can Learn from the UNOMIG Experience

Benyamin Poghosyan By Benyamin POGHOSYAN, PhD, Chairman, Center for Political and Economic Strategic Studies

As Armenia and Azerbaijan come closer to launching bilateral negotiations over the normalisation of relations, many issues wait for a solution. Currently, the hottest debates are underway regarding the future status of Nagorno Karabakh and the legal modalities of the transit for Armenian and Azerbaijani goods passing each other territories. The war in Ukraine and the complete collapse of Russia – West relations added geopolitical components to the equilibrium. Do we have EU – Russia competition over the mediation process? Are there any disagreements between Brussels and Moscow on promoting lasting peace and stability in the South Caucasus? All these issues are worthy of being discussed and debated. READ MORE

  • June 9, 2022
Publications Iran and Turkey Rift Grows Over Dam Construction Projects

Fuad Shahbazov By Fuad SHAHBAZOV, Baku-based independent regional security and defence analyst

Tensions between Turkey and Iran were recently rekindled by the latter constructing a dam over transboundary waterways, namely the Aras, Tigris, and Euphrates rivers. Iran is accusing Turkey of intentionally triggering a regional drought and water shortage –– both of which have impacted Iran brutally. Ankara says Iran’s claims are a diversion.

A new round of disagreements between Iran and Turkey began when Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian criticized Turkey’s dam projects on the Aras and Tigris rivers –– the main transboundary waterways in the region –– citing the threats to water flow in the area and environmental damage to regional states in his speech before Iran’s Parliament on May 10. Abdollahian said he has called on “his Turkish counterpart at least three times over the past months to pay serious attention to the construction of dams on the Aras River.” READ MORE

  • June 9, 2022
Publications The Perils of Black Sea Security

Russia-China-Afghanistan By Eugene KOGAN, Tbilisi-based defence and security expert

The unprovoked Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24th, 2022 has substantially changed the security situation around the Black Sea. The three NATO member states Bulgaria, Romania, and Turkey have pursued a very different and distinct policy with regard to Russia. Bulgaria, as will be further presented, remains dependent on Russian gas and oil. Despite the recent Russian decision to halt gas exports to Bulgaria over the country’s refusal to pay for supplies in roubles, Bulgaria did not buckle under pressure. Romania maintains a watchful eye after the Russian military operations along the Black Sea coast, in general, and the city of Odessa, in particular. Turkey maintains balanced relations with Russia and Ukraine. READ MORE.

  • June 9, 2022
News Ukraine war: How long can the Western consensus hold?

With Russian forces making slow, grinding progress in the eastern Donbas region and military experts speaking of a long war of attrition, have cracks started to appear in the West's support for Ukraine?

  • June 7, 2022
News Ukraine war: Five ways Russia's invasion may play out

Wars ebb and flow. Vladimir Putin's invasion of Ukraine is no exception.

  • June 7, 2022
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