Publications
Growing Footprint of the Turkish Capital in China
By Vusal GULIYEV, Policy Advisor at the Center of Analysis of International Relations and Head of Shanghai Office at AZEGLOB Consulting Group
Over the past three decades, Turkish investment in China has steadily expanded, covering sectors such as energy, manufacturing, retail, and food. Despite certain market challenges, companies like Aksa and TAB Gıda have found scalable success. Backed by institutional frameworks, Türkiye’s strategic pivot to Asia continues to strengthen and diversify its economic relationship with China’s vast and growing market.
Economic relations between Türkiye and China have expanded considerably over the past three decades, evolving beyond trade to encompass mutual investment. While Chinese investments in Türkiye have typically drawn more attention, Turkish capital flowing into China has also steadily increased. Although Turkish investments remain less diversified and extensive than their Chinese counterparts, several Turkish companies have made notable contributions across multiple sectors. Nevertheless, China’s vast consumer base and industrial ecosystem have long been seen as a strategic target for Turkish businesses seeking to enhance their global reach. READ MORE
Publications
Strategic pathways toward a credible endgame for Ukraine
By Elkhan NURIYEV, PhD, Senior Fellow at the Mathias Corvinus Collegium Foundation in Budapest and Senior Fellow at the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation in Berlin
Just over two months into U.S. President Donald Trump’s second term, new uncertainties have begun to reshape the West’s approach toward the war in Ukraine. As the conflict grinds through its third year, signs of strategic drift have emerged across Western capitals. With battlefield momentum stalled, political divisions deepening, and public fatigue rising, the West now faces a narrowing window to reassess its goals—or risk drifting toward a scenario of prolonged stalemate and fractured unity. While former president Joe Biden framed the war as a broader fight for democracy and pledged open–ended support to Kyiv, Trump’s foreign policy instincts emphasize burden sharing, cost efficiency, and transactional diplomacy. These principles are already shaping Washington’s posture. Military aid packages have slowed, public rhetoric has shifted toward ending the war “quickly,” and U.S. diplomatic overtures increasingly hint at conditional support rather than blank checks. READ MORE
Publications
US–Russia Talks: Implications for Armenia–Azerbaijan Negotiations
By Benyamin POGHOSYAN, PhD, Senior Research Fellow at the APRI Armenia
The promise to end the war in Ukraine quickly was one of Donald J. Trump’s main campaign pledges. Upon returning to the White House in January 2025, the president began taking steps toward this goal. The world witnessed a whirlwind of negotiations: face-to-face meetings between Mr. Trump’s envoy, Steven Witkoff, and Russian President Vladimir Putin; multiple phone calls between Mr. Trump and Presidents Putin and Volodymyr Zelensky; direct US–Russia and US–Ukraine talks in Saudi Arabia; and a tense meeting in the Oval Office with Mr. Zelensky.
As a result, Russia and Ukraine agreed to suspend attacks on each other’s energy infrastructure for one month. Negotiations are now underway for a broader ceasefire. It is too early to assess the likelihood of a complete and lasting ceasefire — let alone the prospects for a comprehensive peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine.
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Publications
Azerbaijan, Israel, and United States Seek Trilateral Cooperation Format
By Vasif HUSEYNOV, PhD, Head of Department, AIR Center, Adjunct Lecturer, ADA and Khazar Universities, Baku
On March 6, the office of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced that Israel is engaged in discussions with the United States “to establish a strong foundation for trilateral cooperation between Israel, Azerbaijan, and the U.S.”. This statement coincided with debates in the Knesset on “Upgrading the Strategic Alliance between Israel and Azerbaijan”. The Prime Minister’s Office (PMO) highlighted Azerbaijan’s role as a “strategic ally in the Caucasus region,” with bilateral cooperation spanning security, trade, technology, and energy. Israeli National Missions Minister Orit Strock, speaking on behalf of the government, emphasized the unique and long-standing friendship between Israel and Azerbaijan. READ MORE