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EGF
The European Geopolitical Forum

Friday 24 October 2025

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Context
News Iran says moment for ‘effective’ nuclear talks with US not yet reached

Iran’s FM sceptical about resuming talks with the US, says Iran cannot break ties with UN nuclear watchdog.

  • August 20, 2025
News White House confirms US troops won’t be deployed to defend Ukraine

The White House has reiterated President Donald Trump’s remarks that US troops will not be deployed to Ukraine as part of any security guarantees under a peace deal with Russia. Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said the US may instead provide coordination and air support.

  • August 20, 2025
News Putin praises Trump efforts to halt Ukraine war before Alaska talks

The UK is ready to ‘increase pressure’ on Russia over its continuing war on Ukraine, says Prime Minister Keir Starmer.

  • August 14, 2025
News Trump-Putin meeting: How much territory does Russia control in Ukraine?

Russia controls about 20 percent of Ukraine’s territory and wants full control of four eastern and southern regions.

  • August 14, 2025
News What’s next for oil as OPEC+ and Trump shake the market?

OPEC+ is opening the oil taps again, while Donald Trump’s tariffs target Russian crude buyers.Read more

  • August 14, 2025
News Trump says he thinks Putin will ‘make a deal’ on Ukraine

The US president’s words come on the eve of his closely watched Alaska summit with Russian President Vladimir Putin.

  • August 14, 2025
Publications The Washington Summit Reshapes the Regional Order in the South Caucasus

Vasif HUSEYNOV By Vasif HUSEYNOV, PhD, Head of Department, AIR Center, Adjunct Lecturer, ADA and Khazar Universities, Baku

President Donald Trump is right to describe the U.S.-mediated summit between the Armenian and Azerbaijani leaders on August 8 in Washington as a historic event. It is historic not only for its contribution to the peace process between the two countries, but also for the significant reshaping of the South Caucasus’ security order that it has set in motion. The day after the summit, the region woke up to a new reality – one markedly different from what had existed until recently. Undoubtedly, the most significant outcome of the Washington summit for the people of the South Caucasus was the agreements signed between Armenia and Azerbaijan. The two countries initialled the peace agreement, agreed to sign it following the removal of territorial claims against Azerbaijan from Armenia’s state constitution, jointly appealed for the dissolution of the Minsk Group of the OSCE, and agreed on the opening of the Zangezur corridor. READ MORE

  • August 12, 2025
Publications Strategic Implications of Russia–Ukraine Talks in Istanbul for Eurasia’s Diplomatic Rebalancing

Yunis GURBANOV By Yunis GURBANOV, PhD, Senior Advisor at the AIR Center, Baku

The high-level encounter between Russian and Ukrainian representatives took place on 23 July 2025 in Istanbul. Turkey hosted the encounter with significant diplomatic weight, focusing on limited ceasefire corridors, the exchange of prisoners, and grain exports through the Black Sea. Though apparently narrow in scope, the gathering represents a rebalancing in wider geopolitics. Turkey's mediating role in Istanbul facilitates Ankara's renewed desire to be at the centre of regional diplomacy, particularly considering that Turkey has just hosted Russia-Ukraine direct negotiations in 2025 as a testament to its resumed mediating interests. On the other hand, Western leaders remained unimpressed by Moscow's long-term intentions, particularly in light of Russia's unyielding ultimatums in negotiations and ongoing military belligerency, calling into question its genuine interest in arriving at a settlement other than temporary tactical respite or concession. READ MORE

  • August 12, 2025
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