US Strategic Goals in the South Caucasus Do Not Coincide with Armenian National Interests
By Benyamin Poghosyan, PhD, Executive Director, Political Science Association of Armenia
Relations with the United States are of significant importance for Armenia. Despite the relative decline in the US position as the only world super power, Washington still remains the number one global power in the world. The US is a Minsk Group Co-chair country, actively involved in the Karabakh conflict settlement process, and it exerts great influence in the neighborhood of Armenia. America is also home for the most influential part of Armenian Diaspora, which may play a key role in bringing desperately needed investments into the Armenian economy. READ MORE
- EGF Editor |
Published on EGF: 22.08.2019
| External Relations
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Iran - South Caucasus: Current Stage and Perspectives
By Benyamin Poghosyan, PhD, Executive Director, Political Science Association of Armenia
Iran is one of the key geopolitical actors of the Middle East. Despite the current “diplomatic isolation and maximum economic pressure” campaign launched by the US President Trump Administration, Iran retains its capabilities of making serious impact on regional geopolitics. It exerts political and economic influence in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and Yemen through various state and non-state actors and has a vast toolbox of asymmetric methods of political, economic and military struggle. READ MORE
- EGF Editor |
Published on EGF: 16.08.2019
| External Relations
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Russia – Turkey relations. Implications for the South Caucasus
By Benyamin Poghosyan, PhD, Executive Director, Political Science Association of Armenia
In recent years, Russia – Turkey relations have gone through tremendous transformations. In November 2015, they entered the phase of acute crisis with no hope of quick improvements. However, in summer 2016 the process of reconciliation was launched, which resulted in bringing an unprecedented level of cooperation in economy and in the military-technical sphere. What are the main factors for such change and what does the current Russia – Turkey partnership mean for the South Caucasus. READ MORE
- EGF Editor |
Published on EGF: 26.07.2019
| External Relations
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Deciphering Armenia – Russia relations after the “Velvet Revolution”
By Benyamin Poghosyan, PhD, Executive Director, Political Science Association of Armenia
A pivot towards the West is simply not in Armenia’s best interest.
Immediately after the “Velvet Revolution” in Armenia during the spring of 2018, the main narrative regarding possible developments in Armenian and Russian relations focused on negative expectations. Conventional wisdom brought plenty of reasons for such a mood. Russian authorities do not like leaders who come to power through street demonstrations, and Russia mainly exerts power in its neighbourhood through a network of corrupt and oligarchic elites. READ MORE
- EGF Editor |
Published on EGF: 12.07.2019
| External Relations
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New Russian Embargo - Collapse for Georgian Economy or Historic Chance?
By Nika Chitadze, PhD, Director, Center for International Studies, International Black Sea University, Tbilisi
By Putin's order, flights to Georgia from Russia will be prohibited from July 8. Based on past experience, it can be mentioned, that this step from the official Kremlin may not be a catastrophe for Georgia and on the contrary, to be a chance for the better future. The opening of the Russian market during the last several years and the partial settlement of relations with Russia was considered as a means of growth of Georgia's economy, but the developments since 2013 have proved contradictory.
READ MORE
- EGF Editor |
Published on EGF: 12.07.2019
| Markets
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‘Game of Thrones Moment' for Azerbaijan in Nagorno-Karabakh
By Ahmad Alili, Head of Research, Caucasus Policy Analysis Center, Baku
In the real world, we do not have dragons, faceless men, red woman, white walkers or resurrection from the dead. Yet, the public policy challenges facing advisers in the famous Game of Thrones (GoT) TV show mirror those that political advisors to real governments face. We draw parallels to the real world in the way the show's decision-makers and advisers face the same limitations of time, resources and information bias. READ MORE
- EGF Editor |
Published on EGF: 01.07.2019
| Security
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Gazprom’s “Pipeline Policy” in the Black Sea Region
By Greta K. Wagner, Student, University of Glasgow, Intern, The European Geopolitical Forum
The Black Sea is often described as a strategic crossroads, which links east-west and north-south transport corridors. Particularly with regard to hydrocarbon resources, the Black Sea serves as a transit route between suppliers in Russia, the Caspian region, Central Asia and the Middle East and consumers in the European Union. Given its strategic importance, the Black Sea is an important puzzle piece for Russia’s “energy superpower” strategy. READ MORE.
- EGF Editor |
Published on EGF: 13.06.2019
| Energy
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Is Russia Cultivating ‘Symmetric Separatism’ in Karabakh?
By Eduard Abrahamyan, Wider Black Sea & Central Asia regional security analyst
Moscow’s mistrust of the Armenian government headed by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan dates all the way back to his rise to power last year in the so-called “Velvet Revolution.” And that mistrust has persisted despite Pashinyan’s various foreign policy gambits designed to win Russia’s confidence (see EDM, March 21). At the same time, Pashinyan’s domestic agenda—specifically, his determination to dismantle the previous regime’s oligarchic/kleptocratic order, including by prosecuting former president Robert Kocharyan for abuses of power—seems to be increasingly irking Moscow as well. READ MORE
- EGF Editor |
Published on EGF: 13.06.2019
| Security
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NATO and Georgian–American Military Relations
By Eugene Kogan, Tbilisi-based defence and security expert
Since the 2003 Rose Revolution, Georgia has become a staunch and dependable non-NATO ally of the United States in the South Caucasus. Georgian-American bilateral military relations have become stronger and have climaxed in November 2017. With 870 soldiers per capita, Georgia is the leading donor of troops in Afghanistan. This is highly appreciated by the United States. READ MORE
- EGF Editor |
Published on EGF: 13.06.2019
| Security
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The End of the Multi-vector World and the Creation of New Dividing Lines: Implications for Armenia
By Benyamin Poghosyan, PhD, Executive Director, Political Science Association of Armenia
The expert community dealing with international relations and security studies is involved in active debates regarding the current phase and future developments of the international security architecture. The prevailing topic is the end of United States (US) unipolar hegemony and establishment of more multi-polar, but an unstable and more complicated world with less respect towards the international laws and growing emphasis on coercive policy including threats and use of military force, economic sanctions and hybrid tactics. READ MORE
- EGF Editor |
Published on EGF: 13.06.2019
| External Relations
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