The EU-Russia Energy Partnership: Russia's Arctic Uncertainty
 (154 Kb)  Summary of Panel II: Russia’s Arctic Uncertainty
Changing EU Energy Legislation: Practical Scenarios for Strengthening the EU-Russia Energy Partnership
(162 Kb) Energy Roundtable Summary Document
Geopolitical Challenges: Prospects and Scenarios 2010 - Summary Document
(158 Kb)
At the end of December 1999, as the world prepared to usher in a new Millennium, in Europe and other parts of the planet, there was widespread concern that the so called “Millennium Bug” would strike, causing unforeseen disruption and havoc. Ten years on, in December of last year, for many in Europe, the Millennium Bug was just a shade in the memory as a far more ominous concern was pressing home – the prospect of another gas crisis. Although the fact that the Russia-Ukraine gas dispute of January 2009 – and its knock-on effect of leaving much of Europe without natural gas in the peak of winter – did not repeat itself during the record cold European temperatures of January this year, the very fact that European attention has become so focused on this theme demonstrates how geopolitical developments in the European hinterlands have come to impact the day-to-day livelihood of all Europeans
Caspian Security Briefing: Azerbaijan
(69 Kb)
The former-Soviet Republic of Azerbaijan has attracted a notable degree of attention amongst the international investor community due to the impressive potential of its hydrocarbons sector. The country’s vast (and still largely untapped) oil and gas fields, located in the strategically important Caspian Sea basin, provide the source for major energy transport arteries such as the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan (BTC) oil pipeline. Future energy transport projects of strategic relevance to the European Union...
Security as an Interregional Concern: The EU and the Middle East
(688 Kb) Bruges Regional Integration & Global Governance Papers
Russia’s Middle East Policy
Gas Forum 2010
(562 Kb) Power industry, and especially sources of energy, are a key element ensuring economic development. As far as this sphere is concerned, Europe’s future will depend greatly on gas, and its crucial part will be the Central Europe.
TURKMENISTAN: GAS UNDER PRESSURE
(201 Kb)
In October 2008, an audit by the British company Gaffney, Cline and Associates - GCA propelled Turkmenistan to the rank of the world’s second largest gas producer. This revelation confirmed the assertions of Saparmurad Niazov, the grotesque Turkmenbashy – Father of all the Turkmens – who, from 1985 until his death in December 2006, reigned over his country without sharing power. Less than a year later, two publications which appeared this past September, sow confusion among international energy experts and raise many questions. These two papers, one – an article written by Arkady Dubnov for the Russian newspaper Vremya Novosteï and the other – a report by the German NGO, the Eurasian Transition Group (ETG), - cast doubt on the estimations made public in October 2008.
European energy and transport - Trends to 2030: update 2007
(3 Mb)
The Baseline scenario finalised in November 2007 gives an update of the previous trend scenarios, such as the “Trends to 2030” published in 2003 and its 2005 update. The new Baseline scenario takes into account the high energy import price environment of recent years, sustained economic growth and new policies and measures implemented in the Member-States.
Conventional Security Risks to Central Asia. A Summary Overview.
(199 Kb) This paper briefly outlines the conventional threats to the security of the five former Soviet states of Central Asia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan. It also attempts to identify the common features contributing to insecurity in the region. The new and quite disturbing threat to regional insecurity – the growing risk of a spillover of insurgency into the region from Afghanistan is also discussed.
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